A better week, but it’s still been a crap season for the model against the spread. A bright spot has been its straight-up numbers; and then, out of nowhere, the first week of Over-Unders projections were better than I thought they would be. The Vegas line makers, however, must have looked up, and saw my great start, and suddenly their initial lines for Week 14 are closer to mine. My O/U projections will change, depending on starter changes for next week, but I’ll post final total projections for all Week 14 games before Thursday’s game.
PS. My naggy nerd friends insist I post projection/score variation numbers as a better key to reliability than just wins and losses, so (until the whole thing goes into the tank, as I suspect it might), I’ve added variation numbers to each game line and an averaged season and weekly differential number, just to make them happy. (Okay Terry?) GLTA
PS. My naggy nerd friends insist I post projection/score variation numbers as a better key to reliability than just wins and losses, so (until the whole thing goes into the tank, as I suspect it might), I’ve added variation numbers to each game line and an averaged season and weekly differential number, just to make them happy. (Okay Terry?) GLTA
